THE
PEAK OIL MYTH
By
Dr. Stanley Monteith
November 11, 2005
NewsWithViews.com
The
price of oil and natural gas was increasing before Hurricane
Katrina hit the
Gulf
Coast
, destroyed almost a fourth of our oil production, raised
the price of gasoline to over $3.00 a gallon, and the price
of oil to $70.00 a barrel. Will the rising cost of oil
devastate our economy?
The
web site, hubbertpeak.com warns:
"Oil
will become more expensive and less available. This will be
painful in the industrialized countries which have become
totally dependent upon oil, and in the less developed
countries where oil use is extremely sensitive to price
escalation."[1]
Dr.
M. King Hubbert worked at the Shell Oil research laboratory
in
Houston
, analyzed the oil reserves of the major oil companies, and
issued a 1956 report that predicted
U.S.
oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970. Production
peaked in 1971, and has declined since then.[2]
U.S.
natural gas production peaked the same year. How did Dr.
Hubbert know what was going to happen? Was he clairvoyant?
Was he lucky? Did he have access to "secret
information”?
Dr.
Kenneth Deffeyes worked at the Shell Oil research laboratory
in
Houston
, taught at the
University
of
Minnesota
and
Oregon
State
University
, joined the staff at
Princeton
in 1967, and worked there until he retired. Dr. Deffeyes'
book, Beyond Oil: The View From Hubbert's Peak, he predicted
world oil production will peak between 2004 and 2008. During
a recent interview, Dr. Deffeyes predicted world production
would peak in late 2005 or early 2006.[3]
If Dr. Deffeyes is correct, what will happen to our economy?
What will happen to the world economy?
en.wikipedia.org
states:
"Oil
depletion is the inescapable result of extracting and
consuming oil faster than it can be replaced. Because the
oil resource is not infinite, and its current replacement
rate is quite slow relative to use, it will at some point be
depleted."[4]
Is
oil a finite resource? Will oil production peak in late 2005
or 2006? Many geologists, media pundits, oil company
executives, and the people they employ claim the world is
running out of oil. Web site www.hubbertpeak.com states:
"As
humanity comes to terms with the inevitability of a world
beyond oil, the remaining oil supply will be exploited in
three ways:
1.
To maintain the global economy;
2. To create a
new solar economy which will not depend upon oil;
3. To fight
over the oil that remains."[5]
Most
of the electricity that produces our products and heats our
homes is generated by burning coal (which pollutes the
environment) and natural gas, but Lee
Raymond
, CEO of Exxon Mobil,
claims the
U.S.
is running out of natural gas. Reuters News Service reports:
"After
weak prices in the 1990s due to oversupply, natural gas
production in
North America
will probably continue to decline unless there is another
big discovery, Exxon Mobil Corp.'s chief executive said on
Tuesday.
'Gas
production has peaked in
North America
,' Chief Executive Lee
Raymond
told reporters at the Reuters Energy Summit.
Asked
whether production would continue to decline even if two
huge arctic gas pipeline projects were built,
Raymond
said, 'I think that's a fair statement, unless there's some
huge find that nobody has any idea where it would be.'"[6]
healthandenergy.com
confirms Mr.
Raymond
’s statement:
"Natural
gas supply in
North America
is in decline, and no early simple solution is anticipated.
These are the conclusions expressed in a study, 'North
American Natural Gas: Data Show Supply Problems' just
published in the journal Natural Resources Research. . . .
Natural gas production in the
United States
peaked in 1971. Since then,
Canada
has increasing(ly) supplied the
United States
to 15 percent of its needs in 2002. However, in 2002,
Canadian gas production declined. That trend continued in
2003. Currently 80% of all wells are drilled for gas, not
oil, but in spite of this increased effort the production
decline has not been reversed. The amount of gas found per
foot drilled has also declined nearly 50 percent in the past
decade indicating that the easy-to-find large fields have
already been discovered. New gas wells are showing decline
rates as high as 80 percent the first year."[7]
What
will happen when our natural gas is exhausted? Can we
generate energy from the wind and the sun? Wind and solar
energy are prohibitively expensive, and take years to
develop. Are there other alternatives? Can we maintain our
standard of living by burning oil? The world produces 80
million barrels of oil a day. The
United States
has 5% of the world's population and consumes 20.52 million
barrels of oil a day.
Europe
has 7% of the world's population and consumes 16.45 million
barrels of oil a day.
China
has 22-23% of the world's population and consumes 5 million
barrels of oil a day, but
China
,
India
, and the other developing nations need more oil.[8]
If
oil peaks in late 2005 or 2006, how will the
U.S.
, Europe,
China
, and the other developing nations deal with their growing
need for oil? Will OPEC increase the oil price to $100 a
barrel? To $200 a barrel? What will happen to our economy?
What will happen to the world economy?
China
is acquiring oil fields in
Saudi Arabia
and Africa, purchasing oil in
South America
,
Canada
,
Russia
, and the Middle East, and developing the oil sand deposits
in
Alberta
,
Canada
. The Los Angeles Times
reports:
"Three
of China's state-owned oil companies have . . . poured huge
investments into the oil sands, including a 40% stake in a
$3.6-billion project that will be able to send oil via a new
pipeline to Canada's west coast for shipment to China and
elsewhere. . . . Scenes like this are being repeated around
the world. . . . Chinese crews are building roads in
Africa
in exchange for the right to extract oil from remote
regions. Viewers in
Saudi Arabia
, a nation that
U.S.
oil firms once had to themselves now watch Chinese programs
on satellite TV as
China
drills into Saudi sands.
China
is also taking advantage of tensions between the Bush
administration and Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez to wrest
oil from one of the largest
U.S.
suppliers. To secure deals worth tens of billions of
dollars,
Beijing
is cozying up to regimes in nations, including
Iran
. . . . And it is flexing its military muscle to lay claim
to contested fields in
East Asia
."[9]
Is
the world really running out of oil and natural gas, or is
the oil industry running the same scam they ran in 1973 when
TV stations broadcast advertisements that depicted dinosaurs
lumbering through a forest as a somber voice proclaimed:
"There
are no more dinosaurs . . . the world is running out of
oil."
The
advertisement suggested oil comes from decayed dinosaurs and
organic matter, but that isn't true. Honest geologists admit
they don't know where oil comes from, but Professor Thomas
Gold, an astrophysicist at
Cornell
University
, theorized that oil comes from methane and contains
heat-loving bacteria that inhabit the heated biosphere
beneath the surface of the earth. en.wikipedia/org/wiki/Thomas_Gold
explains Thomas Gold's theory:
"Thomas
Gold achieved fame for his 1992 paper, 'The Deep Hot
Biosphere' in the Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, which presented a controversial view of the origin
of coal, oil, and gas deposits, a theory of an abiogenic
petroleum origin. The theory suggests coal and crude oil
deposits have their origin in natural gas flows which feed
bacteria living at extreme depths under the surface of the
Earth; in other words, oil and coal are produced through
tectonic forces, rather than from the decomposition of
fossils. . . . Recent discoveries have shown that bacteria
live at depths far greater than previously believed. Whilst
this does not prove Gold's theory, it certainly lends
support to its arguments."[10]
If
Thomas Gold's theory is correct, oil is constantly
replenished, and there is a perpetual supply of oil and
natural gas. Has anyone accessed the subterranean regions of
the earth to evaluate Professor Gold's idea? The Russians
have. That's why
Russia
is the second largest oil producer in the world today.
freeenergynews.com
reports:
"Russians
started drilling Kola SG-3, an exploration well which
finally reached a staggering world record depth of 40,230
feet. Since then, Russian oil majors including Yukos have
quietly drilled more than 310 successful super-deep oil
wells, and put them into production. Last year
Russia
overtook
Saudi Arabia
as the world's biggest single oil producer, and is now set
to completely dominate global oil production and sales for
the next century."[11]
If
that is true, why haven't we heard about the discovery?
Because the oil companies, the media moguls, and the Occult
Hierarchy that controls them don't want the public to know
the energy shortage is contrived.
Saudi Arabia
, which funds international terrorism, and the major oil
companies have made billions of dollars since they raised
the price of oil. They will make trillions of dollars,
destroy our economy, and enslave our people if we don't
expose the deception. [12]
Dr.
M. King Hubbert predicted
U.S.
oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970. It peaked
in 1971. How did Dr. Hubbert know that would happen? I
suspect he knew the oil cartel was going to finance the
environmental movement, get laws enacted that would restrict
oil and natural gas production, and block further
development of nuclear power in the
United States
. Gary Benoit's article in the March 27, 2000, issue of The
New American notes:
"In
a letter published in the February 12th (2000-ed) New York
Times, Senator Frank Murkowski (R-AK), chairman of the
Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, identified
'the main problem,' not as a lack of domestic resources, but
as 'the administration's efforts to send oil development out
of this country through taxes, environmental decisions and
bad policy.' After noting that more than half our oil comes
from foreign countries and that our wells are being shut
down (by government decree-ed) Murkowski candidly stated:
'We've allowed that to happen, and we look a little foolish
complaining of the consequences.'"[13]
The
article continued: "The
United States
is awash in energy resources and our dangerous dependence on
foreign sources could be ended simply by allowing the
development of those resources in a free enterprise
environment. . . . Not only has the
United States
not depleted its proved reserves of oil, but those reserves
actually increased over a period of decades, the result of
both new discoveries and changing economic and technological
conditions.
According
to statistics supplied by the Energy Information
Administration (EIA),
America
's proved oil reserves grew from 24.6 billion barrels in
1949 to 38.1 billion barrels in 1971 before declining to
21.0 billion barrels in 1998. Natural gas proved reserves
have followed a similar pattern, although they peaked
earlier and are somewhat larger than our oil reserves. . . .
EIA-supplied statistics show that the
U.S.
had 152 billion barrels of 'technically recoverable oil'
(including proved reserves) in 1998, enough to last another
77 years at the current rate of production. As for natural
gas, there is enough to last 71 years at the current
production level."[14]
The
oil and natural gas reserves cited in the EIA report are
only a fraction of the reserves that have been discovered.
Lindsey Williams was the chaplain for the construction crews
that built the trans-Alaska pipe line, and was at
Prudhoe Bay
when Atlantic Richfield tapped into one of the largest oil
fields in the world, but the field wasn't developed. I
researched that story, and found a BP executive who
confirmed the information. Radio
Liberty
carries Lindsey Williams' book, The Energy Non-Crisis.[15]
I
will cover more of this incredible story in my next article
“Peak Oil II.”
References:
1,
www.hubbertpeak.com
2,
www.hubbertpeak.com
3,
www.hubbertpeak.com/deffeyes
4,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
5,
www.hubbertpeak.com
6,
http://healthandenergy.com/natural_gas_ shortages.htm, p. 2.
7,
Ibid., p. 3.
8,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
9,
Mark Magnier et al, "China Stakes Claim for Global Oil
Access," Los Angeles Times, July 17, 2005. See web
site: www.latimes.com/business/la-fg-chinaoil
10,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Gold
11,
www.freeenergynews.com/Directory/Theory/ SustainableOil
12,
Richard Morin et al, "72% Say Gas Scalping Is Tied to
Storm," Washington Post, Sept. 4, 2005, p. A 27.
13,
Gary Benoit, "Energizing
America
," The New American, March 27, 2000, Volume 15, No.
14,
Ibid.
15,
Lindsey Williams, The Energy Non-Crisis, Worth Publishing
Co., July 1980, pp. 170-202.
©
2005 Stanley Monteith - All Rights Reserved sale
Dr.
Stanley Monteith has been studying the movement to create a
world government for almost 40 years. During his 35-year
career as an orthopedic surgeon he traveled to Europe, lived
in
South Africa
, and researched the records of the men and the
organizations that are working to bring our nation under the
control of a corporate elite.
Dr.
Monteith currently spends five hours daily on talk radio
across the nation. He writes extensively, and lectures on
geopolitics. He is the author of AIDS: The Unnecessary
Epidemic and his most recent book Brotherhood of Darkness is
in its 8th printing.
RADIO
LIBERTY
, P.O.
BOX
969
, SOQUEL, CA. 95073 -- 800-544-8927
Web-Site:
www.radioliberty.com
Link
to article by Stan Monteith:
http://www.newswithviews.com/Monteith/stanley.htm